Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.827629 3.022742 3.231414 3.472377 3.744466 4.043997 4.401201
2025-12-14 2.468738 2.723389 3.010730 3.362912 3.788569 4.294109 4.952228
2025-12-21 2.299365 2.589493 2.928819 3.362320 3.912785 4.605533 5.573708
2025-12-28 2.162191 2.473035 2.846639 3.339648 3.991134 4.851839 6.132423
2026-01-04 2.015897 2.330833 2.716715 3.237967 3.947380 4.919998 6.440848
2026-01-11 1.931632 2.257809 2.665323 3.229196 4.020774 5.150401 7.018179
2026-01-18 1.886588 2.229895 2.667547 3.288673 4.190275 5.535502 7.908678
2026-01-25 1.981538 2.386955 2.922027 3.716178 4.941475 6.931958 10.941931
2026-02-01 1.864853 2.256169 2.776786 3.557684 4.780475 6.809827 11.045568
2026-02-08 1.751990 2.125650 2.625401 3.380243 4.573928 6.583757 10.882405
2026-02-15 1.691578 2.063666 2.566424 3.336238 4.577529 6.728903 11.567617
2026-02-22 1.626402 1.992336 2.490588 3.261437 4.523102 6.759809 11.998714
2026-03-01 1.546756 1.903821 2.394357 3.162523 4.442259 6.773741 12.517550
2026-03-08 1.471868 1.819736 2.301661 3.065054 4.358604 6.778867 13.054045
2026-03-15 1.431513 1.781686 2.272954 3.064837 4.442242 7.130114 14.714575
2026-03-22 1.389313 1.738857 2.234478 3.045345 4.488151 7.411213 16.345430
2026-03-29 1.332339 1.672553 2.157710 2.957885 4.399522 7.382228 16.935603
2026-04-05 1.300050 1.640408 2.130555 2.950328 4.459868 7.702552 19.040228
2026-04-12 1.284615 1.631854 2.138411 3.001532 4.638641 8.344942 23.138088
2026-04-19 1.341448 1.731685 2.319050 3.367037 5.511808 11.120901 46.012106
2026-04-26 1.284581 1.659152 2.223522 3.232041 5.301478 10.742076 45.238144
2026-05-03 1.226707 1.583696 2.121106 3.080194 5.043838 10.183461 42.249479
2026-05-10 1.195910 1.548385 2.082000 3.042418 5.037375 10.413108 47.829844